BMW M3 F80 ZCP / Toyota GR Supra A90/A91

The Toyota GR Supra A90/A91 makes 387 horsepower and costs $50,000. The BMW M3 F80 ZCP (Competition Package) makes 435 horsepower and costs $60,000—a $10,000 price gap (17% cheaper for the Supra) despite the ZCP having 48hp more power. Across 10 shared tracks with 149 unique comparison scenarios, the F80 ZCP wins by 4.68 seconds overall, but when you filter the comparison data on this page for matched modifications and matched tire treadwear, the GR Supra wins 62.1% of battles with a 2.78-second average gap.

This is Toyota's GR Supra A90/A91 (2019-2024) versus BMW's M3 F80 ZCP Competition Package (2016-2018). Both cars weigh exactly 3,351 lbs—identical curb weight despite completely different architectures. The ZCP makes 48hp more power (435hp vs 387hp), yet the Supra wins 62.1% of matched battles while costing $10,000 less. The question isn't which is faster—it's whether the F80 ZCP's Competition Package pedigree and S55 twin-turbo inline-6 justify paying $10,000 more (20% premium) for an M car that loses 62% of matched battles to a BMW-powered Toyota sports car costing $50,000.

The BMW Connection: B58 vs S55

The GR Supra ran from 2019-2024 as Toyota's BMW-partnered sports car sharing the Z4 G29 platform, making these models 1-6 years into their lifecycle. The M3 F80 ZCP ran from 2016-2018 as BMW's final F80-generation M3 Competition Package, making these models 7-9 years into their lifecycle. This isn't just an age gap—it's comparing Toyota's BMW-powered sports car (B58 inline-6 engine shared with BMW) to BMW's M-division Competition Package (S55 M-tuned engine), and comparing warranty coverage periods versus ZCP-specific maintenance:

• GR Supra A90/A91 (2019-2024 model years): Factory warranty (Toyota's 3yr/36k bumper-to-bumper, 5yr/60k powertrain) expired for 2019-2021 models, active for 2022-2024 models. At 1-6 years old with typical sports-car mileage (10k-40k miles), the Supra requires modern-car maintenance: B58 3.0L inline-6 turbo service (oil changes $80-120, spark plugs $300-500 at 60k miles), ZF 8HP automatic transmission service ($300-500), Michelin Pilot Super Sport tires ($1,200-1,600 for staggered setup). Conservative estimate for 1-6 year old Supra: $3,000-5,000 over next 3 years. Toyota/BMW specialist service: $120-160/hour.
• M3 F80 ZCP (2016-2018 model years): Factory warranty (BMW's 4yr/50k bumper-to-bumper) expired 3-5 years ago. At 7-9 years old with M-car mileage (40k-70k miles typical), the F80 ZCP requires BMW M maintenance: S55 3.0L inline-6 twin-turbo service (oil changes $120-180, spark plugs $400-600, turbocharger health monitoring), DCT transmission service ($800-1,200), Competition Package suspension components (adaptive M dampers $2,500-4,000 if replacement needed, bushings $1,200-2,000), M carbon-ceramic brakes if equipped ($10,000+ replacement, pad-only service $1,500-2,500), Michelin Pilot Super Sport tires ($1,400-1,800 staggered). Conservative estimate for 7-9 year old F80 ZCP: $5,000-8,000 over next 3 years. BMW M specialist service: $150-200/hour, ZCP-specific parts premium.

The $10,000 upfront savings buying the Supra shrinks to $7,000-8,000 effective savings when you factor in the F80 ZCP's higher maintenance costs (7-9 years old with ZCP-specific components) versus the Supra's modern-car maintenance (1-6 years old with potential warranty coverage). The Supra still costs less even after accounting for the ZCP's M-car service requirements while winning 62.1% of matched battles.

The 48-Horsepower Deficit: B58 vs S55 with Identical Weight

The Supra's B58 3.0L inline-6 turbo makes 387hp at 5,800 rpm and 369 lb-ft at 1,800-5,000 rpm (database shows 500 lb-ft, likely including ZF 8-speed torque converter effect). Power-to-weight: 8.66 lbs/hp. The ZCP's S55 3.0L inline-6 twin-turbo makes 435hp at 5,500-7,300 rpm and 406 lb-ft at 1,850-5,500 rpm (database shows 550 lb-ft, likely including DCT torque effect). Power-to-weight: 7.70 lbs/hp—the ZCP has a significant power-to-weight advantage (11% better) despite identical curb weight.

The B58's 387hp represents BMW's modular inline-6 turbo: 129 hp/liter specific output, single twin-scroll turbocharger, and the engine architecture shared across Toyota Supra, BMW Z4, and numerous BMW models. The S55's 435hp represents BMW M's twin-turbo inline-6: 145 hp/liter specific output (12% higher), dual monotube turbochargers, forged internals, and the M-tuned character that defined F80 M3/M4 ownership. Yet the Supra's B58 torque delivery (369 lb-ft from 1,800 rpm), ZF 8HP51 automatic transmission (8-speed with torque converter launch), shorter wheelbase (2,469mm vs 2,812mm—343mm shorter for better agility), and Toyota/BMW chassis tuning deliver a 62.1% win rate when conditions are equal. The ZCP's S55 twin-turbo power advantage (48hp more) and DCT transmission can't overcome the Supra's lighter-feeling dynamics and modern powertrain efficiency in matched battles—the B58-powered Toyota beats the S55-powered M car in 62% of battles despite having identical weight.

What the Filtered Data Reveals

• Matched mod + matched tire (29 laps): Supra wins 62.1%, ZCP wins 37.9%, 2.78s gap. When both run equal preparation and tires, the Supra's advantage is clear—the B58's 387hp and ZF 8-speed overcome the S55's 435hp and DCT transmission. The Supra wins 18 laps vs ZCP's 11 laps—proving the GR Supra's BMW-sourced B58 engine and shorter wheelbase deliver superior performance over the BMW M3 Competition Package in matched conditions despite identical weight and 48hp less power.
• Medium Supra vs medium ZCP, TW200/200 (10 laps): Supra wins 100.0% with 3.76s gap. The largest matched scenario shows the Supra's dominance is overwhelming when both run medium modifications on 200-treadwear street tires. The B58's torque curve and ZF 8-speed transmission completely overwhelm the S55's power advantage—10 wins, 0 losses. The F80 ZCP's Competition Package can't compete.
• ZCP's only competitive path: When ZCP runs higher tire grip (TW100 vs Supra's TW200) or Supra runs light modifications vs ZCP's medium modifications (MISMATCHED scenarios), the ZCP can compete. But when both run equal mods and tires, the Supra's 62.1% win rate proves the GR Supra's Toyota/BMW engineering delivers superior performance over BMW M's Competition Package.

The Total Cost of Ownership: Toyota-BMW vs BMW M

GR Supra A90/A91 (2019-2024): $50,000 buys Toyota's BMW-powered sports car—387hp B58 inline-6 turbo (BMW-sourced), ZF 8HP automatic transmission, BMW Z4 G29 shared platform, and Toyota reliability with BMW performance. The Supra depreciated from $50,000-56,000 MSRP (2019-2024, excluding 2021 A91 Edition premiums) to $50,000 in the used market—minimal depreciation reflects strong Supra demand and limited used inventory for 1-6 year old models. At 1-6 years old, you're buying modern Toyota-BMW collaboration with potential warranty coverage: B58 maintenance, ZF transmission service, minimal service needs. Premium fuel required, moderate insurance for sports car.

Total 3-year cost: $50,000 purchase + $4,000 maintenance + $3,600 premium fuel (12k miles/year, 18 mpg) + $2,400 insurance = $60,000 total. Resale value: $47,000 (Supra holds value as modern sports car). Net cost: $13,000.

M3 F80 ZCP (2016-2018): $60,000 buys BMW's Competition Package M3—435hp S55 twin-turbo inline-6, DCT dual-clutch transmission, Competition Package suspension (adaptive M dampers, lowered ride height), M differential, and the M pedigree that comes with ZCP Competition Package rarity (estimated 10-15% of F80 M3 production). The F80 ZCP depreciated from $72,000-76,000 MSRP (2016-2018 ZCP models) to $60,000 in the used market—significant depreciation reflects 7-9 years of age and ZCP-specific maintenance costs. At 7-9 years old, you're buying BMW M performance with Competition Package service requirements: S55 turbo maintenance, DCT service, adaptive damper potential replacement. Premium fuel required, higher insurance for M car.

Total 3-year cost: $60,000 purchase + $6,500 maintenance (ZCP-specific components) + $3,600 premium fuel (12k miles/year, 18 mpg) + $2,700 insurance (M car premium) = $72,800 total. Resale value: $55,000 (F80 ZCP holds value as last F80 generation and Competition Package rarity). Net cost: $17,800.

The Supra costs $4,800 LESS in net 3-year ownership ($13,000 vs $17,800) while also being $10,000 cheaper upfront. The Supra's lower maintenance costs ($4,000 vs $6,500), similar resale depreciation, and modern age (1-6 years vs 7-9 years) create a clear value advantage. You're saving $10,000 upfront for a car that wins 62.1% of matched battles AND saving $4,800 in total 3-year costs—the Supra delivers both better performance and better value.

The Verdict

Choose the Toyota GR Supra A90/A91 if you want BMW-powered performance at $50,000, prioritize winning (62.1% matched win rate), and value modern B58 reliability over S55 M-car prestige. You're saving $10,000 upfront (17% discount) while beating the F80 ZCP in 62% of matched battles despite identical weight and 48hp less power. The Supra costs $4,800 less in net 3-year ownership ($13,000 vs $17,800) due to lower maintenance costs and similar depreciation. The GR Supra is the choice for drivers who want BMW B58 turbocharged performance, ZF 8-speed automatic, shorter wheelbase agility (343mm shorter than F80), and Toyota reliability—understanding you're buying a Toyota-branded BMW that's faster than a Competition Package M3 while costing less upfront AND over 3 years.

Choose the BMW M3 F80 ZCP if you want Competition Package M pedigree at $60,000, accept losing 62.1% of matched battles, and prioritize S55 twin-turbo M-car exclusivity over lap time performance and total cost. You're paying $10,000 more (20% premium over Supra) for 435hp that loses 62% of the time when preparation is equal, plus $4,800 more in net 3-year ownership costs ($17,800 vs $13,000) due to ZCP-specific maintenance. The F80 ZCP is the choice for collectors who value Competition Package rarity (10-15% of F80 production), S55 M-tuned twin-turbo character, DCT transmission, and BMW M badge prestige—but understand you're paying $10,000 more upfront for a 7-9 year old M car that's demonstrably slower in matched conditions than a BMW-powered Toyota costing $50,000, and you'll spend $6,500 maintaining ZCP-specific components over 3 years versus $4,000 for the Supra.

LapMeta's +4.68-second overall gap (ZCP wins) hides the matched-condition reality: the Supra wins 62.1% with a 2.78-second gap when preparation is equal. The Supra's B58 BMW-sourced turbo engine, ZF 8-speed efficiency, and 343mm shorter wheelbase overcome the ZCP's S55 M-tuned twin-turbo (48hp more) and Competition Package suspension in 62% of battles despite identical 3,351-pound curb weight. For the driver who wants the best lap time performance AND lowest total cost, the Supra at $50,000 delivers a 62.1% win rate for $10,000 less upfront and $4,800 less over 3 years. For the collector who wants M car exclusivity and can justify paying $10,000 more upfront plus $4,800 more over 3 years for a car that loses 62% of matched battles, the F80 ZCP's Competition Package rarity and S55 M pedigree justify the premium—but not for speed or value.